Inside the Blog

Tribute To Those Toiling Tough

This blog is a tribute to those farmers who toil to feed empty stomaches, but are fed up and frustrated with a system which mocks at their toils.

Saturday, December 3, 2016

Husband Died, She is Crippled, Two Daughters Clueless

Fluorosis keeps spreading and helpless people of Nuapada continue succumbing to dreaded misery


The 300 rupees of ‘widow pension’ is the only income for the 38 years old Prema Behera and her two daughters of Karlakot village in Nuapada distict. “My husband became crippled in a young age and later died. I have also become fully crippled since about four years,” saya Prema. Apart from the small house in ramshackle state, they have only 0.7 acres of land property. “We cannot cultivate. Our uncle, brother of our father Fakira, cultivates the land and provides us paddy,” says Jamuma, elder adolescent daughter of Prema. 

Prema looks healthy, but can't do anything
When Prema came to Karlakot village after her marriage in 1996, she was a pillar of the family. “Apart from household chores, I was regularly going to forest to collect firewood, going for wage labour and collecting minor forest harvests to augment her familly’s income,” recollects Prema. But good times ended quite soon for them. “Within a span of just three years my husband started feeling pain in body, became crippled and then died,” says Prema.  Soon after, Prema started showing the same symptoms as her husband. “Brother of my husband has helped us a lot. He took me to the biggest hospital of the region in Burla, about 300 kilometers away. When the problems did not heal we went to Visakhapatnam city in Andhra Pradesh state for treatment. There, doctor diagnosed the disease as ‘fluorosis’,” informs Prema. The doctor informed them that it is because of the water they drink. Since 2012, Prema has lost capacity to walk and is mostly confined to bed. The two adolescent daughters not only take care of her but also look after the household.

Prema gets a ‘widow pension’ of 300 rupees a month. Even though she has been diagnosed with severe skeletal fluorosis and is completely crippled she is yet to get pension for physically handicapped person or any other special pension like the pension of 1,500 rupees per month provided by Andhra Pradesh government for fluorosis affected people.

The two very young daughters of Prema are deeply pained by the sufferings of their mother. They have also seen their father suffer and die. They also see many others in their village with similar woes. “We know that water is causing that problem. But we are unable to do anything. The pipe water supply project often gets defunct. Many families are purchasing water from a neighboring which has RO filter or have purchased a filter themselves. We do not have money to do that,” says Tulasi, the younger daughter of Prema.

The past decade has been very cruel to this family and the future does not look bright either. Various development programmes and social security measures has failed to reach the most affected people, especially the poor.




Fluorosis Mauls Flowery Dreams of Phulkumari

A bubbly workaholic Phulkumari looses everything to fluorosis in a span of mere four years.


The whole surrounding became electric and cheerful when Sukanti, came to Karlakote village in 2006, as a bride to Suresh Patel. She was beautiful and mingled with  all in her new village with respect and affection. “Soon after my marriage I not only took up the role of managing her family, comprising myself and my husband, but also helped  with labour in our households farming activity, and earned additional income through collection of  kendu leaf and mahul, and also earning wage employment during agriculture season. 
Bubbly & beautiful Phulkumari after marriage

Now, in 2016, the only activities that Phulkamari does is the basic necessity to attend to call of nature, take bath, sit, sleep and eat to sustain. “Even doing these basic activities for myself is an enourmous pain for me,” says Phulkumari. She is not able to stand upright and makes painful few small strides when she is forced to walk.

“I was very fine till up to year 2008. But, by 2010, when I was barely 22 years old, I was crippled. My whole world turned upside down,” recollects Phulkumari. “I lost capacity to earn and I lost capacity to even do our own household work,” adds she. Now her husband does part of what Phulkumari was doing so effectively, including cooking, cleaning the house, do other chores of the house as well as earn livelihoods for both of the two. 

With just one acre of land, the family of Suresh and Phulkumari was never very well off. Even with such meager income Suresh and Phulkumari had travelled to Sambalpur, 250 kilometers away, to seek treatment and redress. That is a missionary hospital that provides treatment at low and subsidized cost to poor people. “The doctor of that hospital gave me medicine and assured us that it will get alright. We do not know what he diagnosed. It didn’t heal. The problem only grew bigger,” recalls Phulkumari. “In just two years I became fully defunct,physically and we became mentally and economically drained,” adds a dejected looking Phulkumari.

A crippled Phulkumari now
“Our land provides us rice for a year only. For income we have to do wage earning. Earlier we both were going for wage earning, now only I go after doing all the household chores,” says Suresh. Phulkumari was earning big. ‘We never count how much we earn, but what Phulkumari was earning was quite big for our family. We have totally lost that income.  We do not have money to take her to bigger hospitals in large cities,” says tired but still hopeful Suresh. 

Phulkumari is not alone in her village Karlakot in Nuapada district of Odisha. “Many others have become crippled. People of an NGO tell us that it is fluorosis disease caused by contaminated water of the village tube well. We now know that it is because of the bad quality of water of the tube wells that we were trusting as clean and safe water”, says Phulkumri. Government has already identified this village as fluoride affected. “Few years ago some government people asked villagers to not use water of the tubewells. A year later government started supplying water from the Sunder river that flows nearby. But the pipe water network fails often and villagers keep drinking high fluoride contaminated water,” Suresh. “A team from Bhubaneswar had visited once. But, no doctor team has ever visited us,” complains Phulkumari.

Further adding salt to the injury is the severe feeling of getting excluded even by the government. “We have made numerous request to provide us a fluorosis of disability certificate and provide us pension. But our request have fallen on deaf ears,” alleges Suresh. 

The family is devastated. The only saving grace for them is support from the neighbours and relatives. Suresh’s house which was brimming with energy on his marriage day in 2006, wears a deserted look now. And Phulkumari, the beautiful bride with truck loads of dreams on that lovely marriage day, is has lost almost everything, including the hope to become a mother.

Thursday, May 5, 2016

How Many Pipe Water Supply Projects Odisha Has?

I greatly thank Hon'ble Chief Minister Sri Naveen Patnaikji for sharing some statistics related to drinking water supply infrastructures through his Twitter and Facebook handles. Hon'ble Chief Minister, citing those information, has tried to allay our fears saying that he was 'satisfied with the progress'.
However, the statistics that his postings contain give enough reason to doubt whether our Government has concrete and correct information on number of Pipe Water Supply sources/schemes in Odisha. 
Three different sources, all contemporary and should be showing/providing updated information, give three distinctly different set of numbers about number of Pipe Water Supply (PWS) schemes in Odisha.
1. Hon'ble Chief Minister's Facebook page https://www.facebook.com/Naveen.odisha/ informs that there are 9,533 PWS in rural Odisha.
2. Only about a month ago, in March 28 this year, Hon'ble Rural Development Minister Sri Badri Narayan Patra had stated in the Assembly that there are 10,228 PWS schemes in Odisha. It was extensively quoted by media, including Times of India which I am referring to here. ( http://www.newindianexpress.com/states/odisha/Water-Supply-Hit-by-Cut-in-Central-assistance-State/2016/04/28/article3403959.ece )

3. The MIS maintained by Ministry of Drinking Water & Sanitation, Government of India , for which data is entered by the state government, informs that there are 15,357 groundwater based PWS schemes; 1,471 surface water based PWS schemes; and 21 PWS schemes from other sources. Together they become 16,849.  http://indiawater.gov.in/IMISReports/Reports/BasicInformation/rpt_SchemesSourcesGWSW_D.aspx?Rep=1 ) 

Now, if I am not wrong then the three numbers (a) 9,533; (b) 10,228; and (c) 16,849 are not same.
So, the million dollar question is: which information is correct; Or, is every information source incorrect? 
Hope Hon'ble Chief Minister will take kind of note of it.
(Posted by Bimal Prasad Pandia on May 05, 2016 at 19.55)

Wednesday, November 18, 2015

36% schools in Odisha still remain without functional toilet

Our rapid assessment on Water, Sanitation and Hygiene in schools of Odisha has been covered well in media and has reached the government. Though government is still reluctant, the facts are bare. Truth has to be accepted and immediate corrective measures requires to be taken to ensure WASH access in all schools of Odisha. 

The findings of the rapid assessment can be found at http://rcdcindia.org/PbDocument/4add988b1bd4ecb-57c1-4331-b898-204478c4d615Rapid%20assessment%20report%20-%20School%20WASH%20-%2014.11.15.pdf 

Below is the screenshot of coverage published in www.orissadiary.com  
 
36% schools in Odisha still remain without functional toilet
Saturday, November 14, 2015
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36% schools in Odisha still remain without functional toilet
Report by Odisha Diary bureau, Bhubaneswar: A rapid assessment of water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) status in rural schools of Odisha reveals that Odisha hasn’t yet succeeded in providing basic WASH facilities in schools, particularly rural schools; and even drinking water status.   
In the weeks following October 02, 2015 – the Gandhi Jayanti day – a rapid assessment had been done to assess status of functionality of toilets, drinking water facilities, hand-wash facilities and menstrual-hygiene-management (MHM) facilities for girls in the schools. The assessment covered all schools of one sample rural Panchayat each in 20 districts of Odisha. Twenty Civil Society Organisations, who are working on education theme, under the aegis of ‘Right to Education Forum (RTE Forum, Odisha)’ had conducted the survey in a participatory mode. A total of 160 schools which included 14 high schools and five Sevashram schools, were covered in the assessment. These schools have 14,072 students on the roll and 568 teachers.
The study took October 02, 1015 as the threshold day as by this day all government commitments, all orders of the Supreme Court of India and all compliance of important laws should have been fully achieved and all schools of Odisha should have functional separate toilets for boys and girls. The study also looked into whether the school has functional water supply facility and whether it has functional hygiene facilities, especially considering the needs of girl students. 
The study found that more than one-third of rural schools did not have even one functional toilet,  43% of schools did have functional toilet for girls, 57% of high schools did not have functional toilet for girls, 48% of schools did not have any functional urinal, 76% of schools did not have proper hand-wash facilities, and 79% of high-schools with girl students did not have even basic infrastructures to cater to menstrual hygiene needs. 
Anil Pradhan of Right to Education Forum said that ‘while the sanitation and hygiene status remain abysmal; drinking water scenario, too, remains quite poor. As high as 8% of rural schools surveyed do not have any water supply provision and 76% of schools have only tube well hand-pump as functional water source. Only 16% schools had pipe water supply facility’. The survey found hope that many schools have had some kind of infrastructure development initiatives in the last one year. ‘There is a palpable urgency in government’s action, but still the smaller challenge infrastructure creation targets have not been met. A bigger challenge to use those infrastructures well lies ahead’, said Mr Bimal Prasad Pandia of Regional Centre for Development Co-operation. 
Additional Information of rapid assessment of School WASH

Some of the major findings of the rapid assessments are follows: 
- Toilets
o 36% of all schools did not have even one functional toilet.
o 59% of co-ed schools did not have separate functional toilets for both boys and girls.
o 43% of all schools had no functional toilet for girls at all
o 43% of high schools did not have any functional toilet
o 39% of high schools had functional toilet for both girls and boys. 
o 57% of high schools with female students had no functional toilet for girls.
o 46% high schools with male students did not have functional toilet for boys.
o 40% of Sevashram schools did not have any functional toilet for girl students.
- Urinals
o 63% of co-ed schools did not have functional urinals for both boys and girls.
o 48% of total schools did not have any functional urinal.
o 48% of schools assessed had no functional urinal for girls at all
o 60% of the schools did not have functional urinal for boys
o 36% of total high schools did not have any functional urinal
o 57% of the co-ed high schools did not have separate urinals for girls and boys
o 36% of the high schools assessed did not have functional urinal for girls
o 54% of high schools did not have any functional urinal for boys
o 80% of Sevashram schools had separate functional urinal for both girls and boys
- Drinking water
o 8% of the all schools had no functional water source
o 78% of total schools had at least one functional water source inside the school compound
o 76% of schools had only tubewell fitted hand pump as only water source.
o Teachers in 87% of rural schools said that they do not know about any test done to assess quality of water in school sources. 
- Hand wash and Menstrual Hygiene Management (MHM)
o 24% of all schools had functional hand wash facilities
o 85% of all schools with girl students did not have basic MHM provisions
o 79% of high schools with girl students did not have basic MHM provisions
- New infrastructure development
o 41% of schools, reported that some forms of infrastructure development or creation have been done in the last one year
Districts covered in the survey (20 districts):
Balasore (Kaliko GP), Bargarh (Mithapali GP), Bhadrak (Aradi GP), Cuttack (Daudpur), Deogarh (Gurusang), Dhenkanal (Baligorada), Gajapati (Parimala), Ganjam (Banka), Jagatsinghpur (Fatehpur), Jajpur (Singhapur), Keonjhar (Budhakhaman), Khordha (Barimund), Koraput (Kularsingh), Malkangiri (Nuaguda), Mayurbhanj (Nuagaon), Nayagarh (Banamalipur), Nuapada (Kureswar), Raygada (Paika Dukulguda), Sambalpur (Kud Guderpur), and Subarnapur (Bramhani).
- See more at: http://orissadiary.com/CurrentNews.asp?id=62808#sthash.ug6z55gM.dpuf

Monday, September 28, 2015

Hon'ble Prime Minister Sir, What Is the Size of India's Economy?

My Open Letter to Hon'ble Prime Minister Sri Narendra Modiji

Dear Hon'ble Prime Minister,

Pranam !

Hon'ble Sir,
If the media has quoted you correctly, then you have said, 'we are an $8 trillion economy today...' ( http://www.newindianexpress.com/…/…/09/27/article3050542.ece ).
Hon'ble Prime Minister Sir, you have privy to many data that we do not have. But the sources that we can access give a totally different status. The World Bank in a report released this year had pegged the size of our economy at around $2 Trillion (http://www.thehindu.com/…/india-is-now-a…/article7380442.ece ) in 2014.
The Wikipedia too substantiated that. That page shows us assessment by various assessors. They all have pegged our economy between 1.83 to 2.06 Trillion US $ [ https://en.wikipedia.org/…/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nomina… ]. Sir, our government's Economic Survey also indicated the same size of our economy (the total GDP).
So, various souces inform us that our economy cross the $2 Trillion size in year 2014-15. That level was arrived after changes in the earlier method of calculating GDP. If we follow the previous method of estimatin GDP then ours is still below $2 Trillion economy. Whatever be the methods, it is well accepted now that our economy did cross $2 Trillion size last year and thus we accept that.

Did our economy grew 400% in last year, Sir?
Hon'ble Sir, we accept that our economy was $2 Trillion big. But we are astonished how it grew four-fold in just one year to become a $8 Trillion big economy. If we have really achieved that then, Sir, I admit from core of my heart, that you are a Messiah that no other modern society has ever seen or had.
Hon'ble Sir, there is another twist to the tale. The $2 Trillion estimation was made when by calculating $ rate at Rs 61.7. The $ has since appreciated from 61 to nearly 67 levels. That is nearly 10% drop in Rs value. Sir, such weakening of Rs against $ should rather reduce the size of our economy as the GDP growth rate was less than the rate of weakening in Rs.

Dreaming Big is Great, But?
Hon'ble Prime Minister Sir,
I do not know if you have kept a timeline for achieving $20 Trillion size. If there is a timeline to chasing that dream then that is great. But if there is no deadline to achieving that dream then, Sir - please pardon me, setting such dream makes not meaning. It is especially more important, as you must have known Sir, that being a $ 20 Trillion economy is not a small thing. There is no economy in the whole world that is currently $ 20 Trillion big. The US economy is $17.4 Trillion big, all of EU countries together are $18.5 Trillion in size, China is $ 10.4 Trillion and Japan is $ 4.6 Trillion big [Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/…/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nomina…].
Sir, dreaming big is a great thing and leader who propels people to dream big deserves my respect. Being a very small man of rural background, I may have been wrong in prima-facie perceiving that the facts you relied are probably not correct and the dream you tried to sow in us is probably a bit too big.
Hon'ble Sir, I will be immensely happy and glad if I am proven wrong and informed that the statistics I relied to cast doubt on our Hon'ble and popular Prime Minister is wrong.
With kind regards
Bimal Prasad Pandia

Friday, June 12, 2015

Doubts over GDP

My article in Dharitri

http://www.dharitri.com/Bhubaneswar/120615/p6.htm


Tuesday, June 9, 2015

GDP Numbers – Little Truth, More Lies

Bimal Prasad Pandia

The Central Government, which has currently unleashed a publicity overdrive to showcase success of its first year in office, is highlighting a substantial increase in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the country as one its important achievement. With a bunch of statistics, the government conveys that India’s GDP grew at a rate of 7.5% in the quarter ending March 2015. While doing so it also boldly conveys that India has surpassed China on this front. But there are enough chinks in the numbers being thrown at us which have potential to again prove former British Prime Minister Bejamin Disraeli’s famous quote ‘There are three kinds of lies – Lies, Damn lies and Statistics’.

Many experts say that tardy progress on the ground does not at all help one believe that Indian economy really grew at a rate of 7.5%. The results declared by large blue chip companies in both public and private sector for the period ending March 2015 quarter clearly bolster that doubt. None of the seven ‘Maharatna’ companies reported profit growth. Rather they have reported, as the table below reflects, significant decline in net profit compared to the corresponding period in the previous year. Maharatnas are not alone in this profit shrinkage horde. Most large blue chip companies; barring few like HUL, State Bank of India, Airtel etc; too, have reported profit decrease.

Q3 2014-15 Net Profit of ‘Maharatna’ Companies
Company name
Decrease in Profit (in %)
ONGC
19
Gas Authority of India Ltd (GAIL)
53
Bharat Heavy Electicals Ltd (BHEL)
52
Coal India
04
Indian Oil Corporation
33
Steel Authority of india Ltd (SAIL)
26
National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC)
05

Q3 2014-15 Net Profit of large Bluechip companies in Private Sector
Company name
Decrease in Profit (in %)
Bharat Petroleum
30
Tata Motors
56
Mahindra & Mahindra
39
Hero Motors
14
Bajaj Auto
18
Ashok Leyland
36
Punjab National Bank
62
Bank of Baroda
48
TCS
30
Infosys
05
Tech Mahindra
23
Hindalco
36
L&T
27
DLF
22
Sun Pharma
44
Wockhard
54
Adani Power
71

 The above numbers clearly show that bulk of industries have underperformed last year, which itself was not a great year. Another statistics inform that 35 companies that make National Stock Exchange of India Nifty index have reported profit drop or loss. When so many large companies of the country have fared worse than the previous year, doubts about 7.5% GDP growth rate will surely creep in. 
There are other sets of numbers which put the 7.5% GDP growth rate claim in dock. The India Industrial Production (IIP) maps industrial production every month. Government of India declares IIP rate every month.In the twelve months of FY 2014-14, highest IIP rate was reported in the month of May 2014. In that month the IIP growth rate was 5.6% . There were months when the IIP rate was negative. The average IIP growth rate for whole 2014-15 is a mere 2.3%. When the Industrial production growth was only 2.3%, a GDP growth rate of 7.5% can be possible only when other sectors compensate. The May 29 press release of statistics department does not give any indication of such compensation from other sectors. The press release informs that ‘agriculture, forestry and fishing’ sector had a paltry growth rate of 0.2 % in 2014-15, ‘mining and quarrying’ grew at only  had a growth rate of only 2.4% and ‘construction’ sector grew at 4.8%. All these important sectors grew at significantly less rate than the claimed GDP growth rate. The only sector which showed a substantial growth rate is the service sector which reported 10.7 % growth. But service sector grew more for a different reason. Economists say that the significant rise in taxes, including service tax, has resulted in an inflated growth rate for the service sector. Learned economists further doubt the GDP figures by citing its incompatibility with Gross Value Added (GVA) figures. Majority of economists repose more faith in GVA than the GDP in assessing economic trends. GVA is total output minus total intermediate consumption.  In a recent television interview Dr Pronab Sen, Chairman of Statistical Commission, said that India’s GVA for the quarter ending March 2015 was only 6.1% which was less than its previous quarter. GVA has direct relation with GDP. GDP = GVA + Taxes on products - Subsidies on products. While the GVA has decreased the GDP can grown only when taxes on products have increased and subsidies on products has decreased. In such case, GDP is not a trustworthy indicator for measuring an economy.

India’s external trade, too, forces us to doubt GDP claims. In the current age of open economies, growth in external trade is an important indicator of overall growth in economy. But, in the FY 2014-15, India’s export as well as import shrunk. Export fell 1.5% and import fell 0.6%. When both export and import has fallen and gross external trade has shrunk, a rise in GDP growth rate does not make much sense. 

As we doubt the GDP growth rate claim, we must not also forget the abrupt change in methodology to calculate GDP. Last year government changed the base year from 2004-05 to 2011-12. They also decided to adopt market price against the earlier practice of factor price. Because of this technical change in methodology, India’s GDP growth rate steeply rose to 6.9% in FY 2013-14. The previous estimation, based on the earlier methodology, had reported a GDP growth rate of 4.7%. So, a mere jugglery in methodology created a set of numbers which gave an impression as if our economy has suddenly changed gear. After all, a 6.9% growth is certainly far more alluring than a 4.7% growth rate. While there are a lot of suspicion about the GDP numbers including the methodology, a recent sharp revision in the GDP rate of previous quarter has only increased the doubt further. Earlier government had declared that the GDP growth rate for quarter ending December 2014 was 7.5%. Then also government had blown its own trumpet of how it has managed a very good growth rate. Now, that number has been revised from 7.5% to 6.9% which is a big revision. Revision of an earlier estimation is not new and may be required if new set of data comes, but revision from 7.5% to 6.9% is too big a revision to avoid notice. Further, this revision shows that there has not been any change in growth rate as the corresponding quarter in the previous financial year too had a GDP rate of 6.9%.

While GDP has largely been used mostly by economists till now and was considered as a technical thing, the situation has changed now as it is being used for political messages too. Citing the current estimation of 7.5% growth rate, government of India is telling masses that it has now marched over China. Such kind of message definitely appeals the common people. But, unfortunately, the numbers cannot be used in so simple terms. If we believe the GDP estimation and a 7.5% growth rate in India, then it is of course true that India has surpassed China as China has reported a drop in its GDP rate of 7%. But the comparison with China is wrong on at least two counts. Both countries adopt different methodology to calculate their GDP. There are doubts over China’s method of calculation as well. There are interesting stories of how combined GDP of China’s provincial states, rather than equal the country GDP, instead country GDP by leaps. China too had changed its methodology of calculating GDP last year. Whatever be the case, comparing growth rate of both countries is not as simple as is being made out. Secondly, two vastly different economies which significantly differ on size and nature should not and cannot be compared based on their GDP growth rate. Poverty and civil war ravaged African nations South Sudan and Ethiopia are having GDP growth rate in excess of 10%. Will that mean that those countries are performing better than India or China?  Similarly, highly developed economies like USA, UK, France etc are having much GDP growth rate. Will that mean that those countries have become worse than India? Even a 20% growth of a poor family will still yield a net addition which will be pretty insignificant to say one or two percent growth of a very rich family. Comparison of India with China is fraught with that danger. China’s per capita GDP is four times bigger than that of India. Thus, a growth rate of 7%  in China will still yield that country a far bigger net addition in wealth and resources than what a 7.5% or 8% growth rate would do for India.

GDP, though has been challenged by many economists, still is being used to measure economies. But, the trustworthiness in it is dwindling fast. The data can be manipulated quite easily. In such circumstances it is probably hugely premature to cite India’s GDP leap and blow trumpet about India’s growth trajectory.